Yıl 2011,
Cilt: 1 Sayı: 2, 91 - 104, 04.07.2011
Öz
In this study, the first exit time of a compound Poisson process with positive jumps and an upper horizontal boundary is considered. An explicit formula is derived for the distribution function of the first exit time associated with the compound Poisson process. By means of a proposed algorithm, some numerical examples and an application on traffic accidents are also given to illustrate the usage of the distribution function of the first exit time and proposed algorithm.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Kaynakça
- Ammussen, S. (2000). Ruin Probabilities. World Scientific.
- Bar-Lev, S., Bshouty, D., Perry, D. and Zacks, S. (1999). Distributions of stopping times for com- pound Poisson processes. Stochastic Models 15(1), 89-101.
- Cacoullos, T. and Papageorgiou, H. (1980). On some bivariate probability models applicable to traffic accidents and fatalities. International Statistical Review 48, 345-356.
- Cacoullos, T. and Papageorgiou, H. (1982). Bivariate negative binomial-Poisson and negative bino- mial-Bernoulli models with an application to accident data. In Statistics and Probability: Essays in Honor of C. R. Rao, G. Kallianpur et al. (eds) 155-168.
- Delucia, J. and Poor, H.V. (1997). The moment generating function of the stopping time for a linearly stopped Poisson process. Stochastic Models 13, 275-292.
- Dirickx, Y.M.I. and Koevoets, D. (1997). A continuous review inventory model with compound Pois- son demand process and stochastic lead time. Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 24(4), 577.
- Djauhari, M.A. (2002). Stochastic pattern of traffic accidents in Bandung city, IATSS Research 26(2), 85-91.
- Dvoretzky, A., Kiefer, J. and Wolfowitz, J. (1953). Sequential decision problems for processes with continuous time parameter. Annals of Mathematical Statistics 24, 254-264.
- Gallot, S.F.L. (1983). Absorption and first passage times for a compound process in a general upper boundary. Journal of Applied Probability 30, 835-850.
- Ignatov, Z.G. and Kaishev, V.K. (2004). A finite-time ruin probability formula for continuous claim severites. Journal of Applied Probability 41(2), 570-578.
- Klugman, S.A., Panjer, H.H. and Willmot, G.E. (1998). Loss Models. John Wiley & Sons.
- Leiter, R.E. and Hamdan, H.A. (1973). Some bivariate probability models applicable to traffic acci- dents and fatalities. International Statistical Review 41, 87-100.
- Meintanis, S.G. (2007). A new goodness of fit test for certain bivariate distributions applicable to traf- fic accidents. Statistical Methodology 4, 22-34.
- Ozel, G. and Inal, C. (2008). The probability function of the compound Poisson process and an appli- cation to aftershock sequence in Turkey. Environmetrics 19(1), 79-85.
- Ozel, G. and Inal, C. (2008). The probability function of the compound Poisson distribution using in- teger partitions and Ferrer's graph. Bulletin of Statistics and Economics 2, 70-79, (2008).
- Panjer, H.H. (1981). Recursive evaluation of a family of compound distributions. Astin Bulletin 12, 22-26.
- Rolski, T., Schmidli, H., Schmidt, V. and Teugels, J. (1998). Stochastic Processes for Insurance and Finance. John Wiley & Sons.
- Rosencrantz, W.A. (1983). Calculation of the Laplace transform of the length of the busy period for the M/G/1 queue via martingales. Annals of Probability 11, 817-818.
- Shanmungan, R. and Singh, J. (1980). Some bivarite probability models applicable to traffic accidents and fatalities. Proceedings of the NATO Advanced Study Institute: Statistical Distributions in Scientific Work, 6, 95-103.
- Van Der Laan, B.S. and Louter, A.S. (1986). A statistical model for the costs of passenger car traffic accidents. The Statistician 35(2), 163-174.
Yıl 2011,
Cilt: 1 Sayı: 2, 91 - 104, 04.07.2011
Öz
Bu çalışmada, pozitif adımlı ve üst yatay sınırlı bir birleşik Poisson sürecinin ilk aşma zamanı göz önünde bulundurulmuş ve ilk aşma zamanının kesin formülüne ulaşılmıştır. İlk aşma zamanının dağılım fonksiyonunun ve önerilen algoritmanın uygulanabilirliğini göstermek için bazı sayısal örnekler ve trafik kazaları üzerine bir uygulama verilmiştir
Anahtar Kelimeler
Birleşik poisson süreci İlk aşma zamanı Üst yatay sınır Oracle veritabanı
Kaynakça
- Ammussen, S. (2000). Ruin Probabilities. World Scientific.
- Bar-Lev, S., Bshouty, D., Perry, D. and Zacks, S. (1999). Distributions of stopping times for com- pound Poisson processes. Stochastic Models 15(1), 89-101.
- Cacoullos, T. and Papageorgiou, H. (1980). On some bivariate probability models applicable to traffic accidents and fatalities. International Statistical Review 48, 345-356.
- Cacoullos, T. and Papageorgiou, H. (1982). Bivariate negative binomial-Poisson and negative bino- mial-Bernoulli models with an application to accident data. In Statistics and Probability: Essays in Honor of C. R. Rao, G. Kallianpur et al. (eds) 155-168.
- Delucia, J. and Poor, H.V. (1997). The moment generating function of the stopping time for a linearly stopped Poisson process. Stochastic Models 13, 275-292.
- Dirickx, Y.M.I. and Koevoets, D. (1997). A continuous review inventory model with compound Pois- son demand process and stochastic lead time. Naval Research Logistics Quarterly 24(4), 577.
- Djauhari, M.A. (2002). Stochastic pattern of traffic accidents in Bandung city, IATSS Research 26(2), 85-91.
- Dvoretzky, A., Kiefer, J. and Wolfowitz, J. (1953). Sequential decision problems for processes with continuous time parameter. Annals of Mathematical Statistics 24, 254-264.
- Gallot, S.F.L. (1983). Absorption and first passage times for a compound process in a general upper boundary. Journal of Applied Probability 30, 835-850.
- Ignatov, Z.G. and Kaishev, V.K. (2004). A finite-time ruin probability formula for continuous claim severites. Journal of Applied Probability 41(2), 570-578.
- Klugman, S.A., Panjer, H.H. and Willmot, G.E. (1998). Loss Models. John Wiley & Sons.
- Leiter, R.E. and Hamdan, H.A. (1973). Some bivariate probability models applicable to traffic acci- dents and fatalities. International Statistical Review 41, 87-100.
- Meintanis, S.G. (2007). A new goodness of fit test for certain bivariate distributions applicable to traf- fic accidents. Statistical Methodology 4, 22-34.
- Ozel, G. and Inal, C. (2008). The probability function of the compound Poisson process and an appli- cation to aftershock sequence in Turkey. Environmetrics 19(1), 79-85.
- Ozel, G. and Inal, C. (2008). The probability function of the compound Poisson distribution using in- teger partitions and Ferrer's graph. Bulletin of Statistics and Economics 2, 70-79, (2008).
- Panjer, H.H. (1981). Recursive evaluation of a family of compound distributions. Astin Bulletin 12, 22-26.
- Rolski, T., Schmidli, H., Schmidt, V. and Teugels, J. (1998). Stochastic Processes for Insurance and Finance. John Wiley & Sons.
- Rosencrantz, W.A. (1983). Calculation of the Laplace transform of the length of the busy period for the M/G/1 queue via martingales. Annals of Probability 11, 817-818.
- Shanmungan, R. and Singh, J. (1980). Some bivarite probability models applicable to traffic accidents and fatalities. Proceedings of the NATO Advanced Study Institute: Statistical Distributions in Scientific Work, 6, 95-103.
- Van Der Laan, B.S. and Louter, A.S. (1986). A statistical model for the costs of passenger car traffic accidents. The Statistician 35(2), 163-174.
Toplam 20 adet kaynakça vardır.
Ayrıntılar
| Birincil Dil | İngilizce |
|---|---|
| Bölüm | Araştırma Makalesi |
| Yazarlar | |
| Yayımlanma Tarihi | 4 Temmuz 2011 |
| Yayımlandığı Sayı | Yıl 2011 Cilt: 1 Sayı: 2 |
