TÜRKİYE’DE YOL GÜVENLİĞİ PERFORMANSININ ÇOK KRİTERLİ DEĞERLENDİRİLMESİ: BÜTÜNLEŞİK CENTROIDOUS-RAM YAKLAŞIMI

Tayfun Öztaş

doi:10.17780/ksujes.1747389

TR EN

TÜRKİYE’DE YOL GÜVENLİĞİ PERFORMANSININ ÇOK KRİTERLİ DEĞERLENDİRİLMESİ: BÜTÜNLEŞİK CENTROIDOUS-RAM YAKLAŞIMI

Öz

Yol güvenliği çok sayıda etkene bağlı olup, olası en küçük bir hata dahi ciddi yaralanmalara ve ölümlere neden olabilmektedir. Bu nedenle telafisi mümkün olmayan sonuçlarıyla trafik kazaları hem halk sağlığını hem de ülke ekonomilerini tehdit eden önemli bir sorun hâline gelmiştir. Bu çalışmada, Türkiye’nin 81 ili yol güvenliği açısından Çok Kriterli Karar Verme (ÇKKV) yaklaşımı kullanılarak analiz edilmiştir. Çalışma, Türkiye İstatistik Kurumu verilerine dayanmakta olup dört aşamalı bir yöntem izlenmiştir. İlk aşamada Centroidous yöntemiyle kriter ağırlıkları belirlenmiş; en yüksek ağırlık bir milyon nüfusta trafik kaza sayısı kriterine, en düşük ağırlık ise sürücü belgesi olan kişi sayısı kriterine atanmıştır. İkinci aşamada RAM yöntemi ile iller yol güvenlik performansına göre sıralanmış; İstanbul en yüksek, Muğla ise en düşük performans gösteren iller olarak belirlenmiştir. Üçüncü aşamada, sıralama sonuçlarının kriter ağırlıklarındaki değişimlere duyarlılığını incelemek üzere beş farklı senaryo altında analiz yapılmıştır. Son aşamada ise COPRAS, MABAC, TOPSIS ve WASPAS yöntemleriyle karşılaştırmalı analiz yapılmış; önerilen yöntemin geçerliliği %91’in üzerinde korelasyon değerleriyle ile doğrulanmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

MULTI-CRITERIA EVALUATION OF ROAD SAFETY PERFORMANCE IN TÜRKİYE: AN INTEGRATED CENTROIDOUS-RAM APPROACH

Abstract

Road safety depends on numerous factors, and even the smallest error can result in severe injuries or fatalities.Therefore, with their irreversible consequences, traffic accidents have become a critical problem that threatens both public health and national economies. This study evaluates road safety in Türkiye’s 81 provinces through a Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) framework using official data from the Turkish Statistical Institute. The analysis follows a four-stage methodology. First, criterion weights were determined using the Centroidous method, the highest weight was assigned to the criterion of the number of traffic accidents per million population, while the lowest weight was assigned to the criterion of the number of licensed drivers. Second, provinces were ranked based on their road safety performance using the RAM method. As a result, Istanbul was identified as the best-performing province, whereas Muğla was identified as the lowest-performing province. Third, a sensitivity analysis was conducted under five different scenarios to analyze the effect of the changes in the criteria weights on the ranking results. Finally, a comparative analysis was carried out using the COPRAS, MABAC, TOPSIS, and WASPAS methods, and the validity of the proposed approach was verified with a correlation exceeding 91%.

Keywords

References

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Details

Primary Language

Turkish

Subjects

Multiple Criteria Decision Making

Journal Section

Research Article

Authors

Tayfun Öztaş ^*
0000-0001-8224-5092
Türkiye

Publication Date

December 3, 2025

Submission Date

July 21, 2025

Acceptance Date

September 17, 2025

Published in Issue

Year 2025 Volume: 28 Number: 4

DOI

https://doi.org/10.17780/ksujes.1747389

IZ

https://izlik.org/JA49GR55HY

Cite

RIS / Bibtex

APA

Öztaş, T. (2025). TÜRKİYE’DE YOL GÜVENLİĞİ PERFORMANSININ ÇOK KRİTERLİ DEĞERLENDİRİLMESİ: BÜTÜNLEŞİK CENTROIDOUS-RAM YAKLAŞIMI. Kahramanmaraş Sütçü İmam Üniversitesi Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi, 28(4), 1928-1948. https://doi.org/10.17780/ksujes.1747389

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